Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa62f…9e04
crypto · 318 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,493 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,487 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,087
Realized−$6,487
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses231 / 544
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)775 / 318
History coverage1d
Avg bet$96
Trades / day3209.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 775 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,487
7 days−$6,487
14 days−$6,487
30 days−$6,487
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $290 $760 +$470 (+162%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 58¢ 52¢ $399 $355 −$43 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $95 $288 +$193 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $154 $252 +$98 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $51 $96 +$45 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $47 $78 +$30 (+63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 53¢ 48¢ $72 $66 −$6 (-8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 80¢ 50¢ $81 $52 −$30 (-37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $18 $35 +$17 (+92%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $31 $32 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $19 $26 +$7 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $10 $23 +$13 (+133%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+203%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+133%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 13¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+669%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $290 +$470 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$193 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$30 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$17 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$7 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +669%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +335%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$660
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $32 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $28 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $18 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $36 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $44 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $44 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $43 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $41 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $43 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-51.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 775 -46.5% -51.6% 30% 24% -24.9%
≤30d 775 -46.5% -51.6% 30% 24% -24.9%
≤90d 775 -46.5% -51.6% 30% 24% -24.9%
all 775 -46.5% -51.6% 30% 24% -24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3209.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.6% 24% -24.9%
10% ← realistic here -56.3% 19% -32.1%
15% -60.5% 15% -38.6%
20% -64.4% 11% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,086.66 · official $2,069.86 (match) · 3500 history records