Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:38:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa625…fac6
crypto · 1133 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,740 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,751 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$145
Realized−$1,751
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses866 / 258
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1124 / 1133
History coverage143d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 9 History 1124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$501
14 days−$1,224
30 days−$774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $32 $34 +$2 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $34 $32 −$2 (-6%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+10%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-13%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+150%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 74¢ 99¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+34%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 20¢ 56¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+178%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+49%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? No 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 3.5 Over 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? No 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 2.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Over 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 −$8 -52%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 −$7 -54%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 +$19 +123%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $17 +$3 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $19 +$11 +57%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +44%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$17 +361%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $18 −$4 -24%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $4 −$3 -98%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 −$2 -20%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +16%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 +$3 +73%
Togo vs. Benin: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $4 +$9 +226%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $7 −$1 -16%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $9 +$3 +29%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 $0 +4%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $9 +$2 +18%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 +$4 +76%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 +$7 +158%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +19%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $4 +$14 +388%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $4 +$5 +114%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $5 +$1 +11%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $4 +$8 +180%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 09 $8 +$3 +43%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $14 +$1 +9%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 −$1 -11%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $3 −$2 -97%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $4 +$3 +62%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $4 +$9 +216%
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $151 +$10 +6%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $150 +$6 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$1,327
sports 2% −$316
other 1% −$89
world 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $4 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $3 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 33¢ $7 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 71¢ $5 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $4 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $9 7h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 39¢ $12 7h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 59¢ $5 23h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 41¢ $13 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 71¢ $4 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $4 24h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $19 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 85¢ $17 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 24h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 30¢ $9 24h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 22¢ $2 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 68¢ $14 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $5 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 33¢ $4 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $14 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $7 31h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 32h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 -0.3% -9.8% 65% 33% -15.6%
≤30d 497 -7.4% -16.2% 65% 32% -11.6%
≤90d 653 -4.6% -13.7% 69% 32% -11.6%
all 1124 -3.1% -12.3% 77% 32% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 32% -11.3%
10% -20.7% 15% -19.8%
15% -28.4% 8% -27.5%
20% -35.4% 6% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $144.86 · official $146.56 · 3500 history records