Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:42:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa623…a4fe
sports · 710 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$276 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,294 · open +$578
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,931
Realized−$1,294
Unrealized+$578
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses321 / 335
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$2,725
Open positions57
Markets (closed)656 / 710
History coverage9d
Avg bet$352
Trades / day267.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 57 History 656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,335
7 days−$6,762
14 days−$1,294
30 days−$1,294
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 100¢ $922 $1,110 +$188 (+20%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $1,085 $1,084 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 100¢ $417 $999 +$581 (+139%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $737 $741 +$4 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $669 $674 +$5 (+1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $585 $581 −$4 (-1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $576 $576 −$1 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 55¢ 57¢ $549 $574 +$25 (+5%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $533 $528 −$6 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $522 $528 +$6 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $515 $514 −$1 (-0%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $509 $504 −$5 (-1%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Australia 70¢ 68¢ $483 $466 −$17 (-4%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $365 $361 −$4 (-1%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 90¢ 90¢ $325 $327 +$2 (+1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 26¢ $360 $265 −$95 (-26%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Spurs 92¢ 98¢ $233 $247 +$14 (+6%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 81¢ 88¢ $166 $181 +$15 (+9%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? No 24¢ 24¢ $172 $176 +$4 (+2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $172 $174 +$3 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Belinda Bencic 51¢ 50¢ $176 $173 −$3 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 78¢ 81¢ $147 $153 +$7 (+4%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 93¢ 93¢ $143 $142 −$0 (-0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 33¢ 46¢ $85 $120 +$35 (+41%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 95¢ 96¢ $109 $110 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,557 −$446 -29%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $3,570 +$1,245 +35%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $171 +$27 +16%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $184 +$9 +5%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $158 +$57 +36%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,741 −$558 -20%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $357 −$357 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $288 +$138 +48%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,285 +$15 +1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,070 +$269 +25%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $97 +$129 +134%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $38 +$48 +129%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $888 −$841 -95%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $44 −$4 -10%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $329 −$329 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $749 +$155 +21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $433 +$566 +131%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $427 +$572 +134%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $306 +$409 +134%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $295 +$59 +20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $13 +$4 +31%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,146 +$408 +36%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $322 −$164 -51%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $355 +$14 +4%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1,363 +$96 +7%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $51 +$37 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $531 +$735 +138%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $916 −$127 -14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $411 −$411 -100%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $209 −$33 -16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $401 +$578 +144%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $119 −$119 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $146 +$193 +132%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $289 +$78 +27%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $207 −$94 -45%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $216 +$6 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $172 +$9 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,545 −$852 -55%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $161 +$30 +18%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $351 +$7 +2%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $452 +$52 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$1,562
other 13% +$840
crypto 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 49¢ $58 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 17¢ $17 7m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 81¢ $264 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5 BUY Under 82¢ $81 15m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 78¢ $148 20m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Knicks 49¢ $86 30m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Over 51¢ $43 52m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Over 53¢ $47 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 BUY Over 54¢ $67 57m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 46¢ $131 57m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 46¢ $51 57m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 BUY Under 49¢ $46 58m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 81¢ $97 1h
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 39¢ $36 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 48¢ $114 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 31¢ $27 1h
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 41¢ $41 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 46¢ $56 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 80¢ $92 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 42¢ $190 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 60¢ $270 3h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 51¢ $109 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 47¢ $226 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $230 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 20¢ $100 3h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 65¢ $66 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 67¢ $314 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 21¢ $14 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 28¢ $127 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 23¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 523 -9.0% -17.6% 48% 37% -12.8%
≤30d 656 -8.4% -17.1% 49% 39% -10.0%
≤90d 656 -8.4% -17.1% 49% 39% -10.0%
all 656 -8.4% -17.1% 49% 39% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover267.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 39% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 30% -18.6%
15% -32.3% 24% -26.5%
20% -38.9% 20% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,930.72 · official $12,932.72 (match) · 3500 history records