Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:03:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa61c…4dd6
weather · 219 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$241 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$134 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$134
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses145 / 74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)219 / 219
History coverage21d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day58.9
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$154
7 days−$93
14 days+$160
30 days+$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $10 −$6 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $186 −$145 -78%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 −$1 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $68 +$6 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 7? Jun 14 $15 +$5 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 11? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 9? Jun 14 $10 −$9 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 11 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 13 $14 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $270 −$73 -27%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $41 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $67 +$6 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $45 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $19 −$13 -68%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $64 +$15 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $18 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$7 +50%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $65 +$10 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $26 −$5 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $36 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $42 +$48 +113%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 −$3 -17%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $22 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $63 +$6 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$2 -20%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $41 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $60 −$60 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $22 −$7 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -72%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -80%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $42 +$12 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $75 +$36 +48%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $52 +$5 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $78 −$19 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 −$3 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -76%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $8 +$12 +145%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $106 +$8 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $18 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $21 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? SELL No 4¢ $4 51m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 10¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? SELL No 14¢ $26 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 57¢ $13 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 65¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 87¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $47 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $72 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $28 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? SELL No 80¢ $15 4h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? BUY No 60¢ $12 4h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14? SELL Yes 66¢ $6 5h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 71¢ $7 5h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? SELL No 96¢ $74 5h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 84¢ $36 5h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 80¢ $4 5h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $28 6h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14? BUY No 80¢ $1 15h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $4 16h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $11 16h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14? BUY No 80¢ $3 17h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $14 17h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? SELL No 60¢ $173 21h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 77¢ $4 21h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? SELL Yes 60¢ $3 22h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? BUY Yes 66¢ $3 22h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 89¢ $27 22h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 88¢ $16 22h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? BUY No 89¢ $16 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -6.6% -15.5% 56% 29% -12.5%
≤30d 219 +8.7% -1.7% 66% 30% -8.2%
≤90d 219 +8.7% -1.7% 66% 30% -8.2%
all 219 +8.7% -1.7% 66% 30% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.7% 30% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -11.1% 18% -17.0%
15% -19.7% 9% -25.0%
20% -27.5% 6% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1247 history records