Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:22:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A6
0xa600…0fc5
other · 129 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$2,330 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,269 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$94
Realized+$2,269
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses79 / 49
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)128 / 129
History coverage143d
Avg bet$168
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$159
7 days−$706
14 days−$706
30 days−$709
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $100 $94 −$6 (-6%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $152 +$125 +82%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $203 −$200 -99%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,498 +$851 +57%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $141 −$141 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $499 −$499 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$109 +107%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24? Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 11 $152 −$152 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$42 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $99 +$70 +70%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $101 +$120 +119%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $102 +$255 +250%
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $102 +$131 +129%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $181 +$117 +65%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score May 20 $101 +$68 +67%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) May 19 $111 +$103 +93%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $102 +$102 +101%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-07? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
FC Metz vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? May 17 $200 −$200 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10? May 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $100 +$62 +62%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $100 +$73 +73%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score May 16 $101 +$65 +65%
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) May 15 $100 +$62 +62%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08? Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01? Mar 24 $200 −$200 -100%
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5 Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14? Mar 24 $130 −$130 -100%
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 Mar 24 $200 −$200 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02? Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14? Mar 24 $200 −$200 -100%
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score Mar 24 $200 −$200 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? Mar 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$1,347
sports 31% +$841
world 0% +$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $102 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 100¢ $276 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 54¢ $152 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $203 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,349 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1,498 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $499 23h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $141 29h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 43¢ $102 42h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $111 42h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 71¢ $101 42h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 96¢ $100 42h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $102 47h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $101 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $101 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $143 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 58¢ $99 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $101 3d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 39¢ $101 15d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 45¢ $101 18d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 28¢ $102 21d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 49¢ $152 22d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 47¢ $102 22d
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? BUY Yes 43¢ $102 24d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? BUY Yes 60¢ $181 25d
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 59¢ $101 26d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 61¢ $101 26d
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) BUY Burnley FC 51¢ $111 27d
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 55¢ $101 27d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 62¢ $101 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -52.3% -56.9% 28% 28% -26.1%
≤30d 38 -24.2% -31.4% 39% 39% -20.1%
≤90d 55 -44.7% -49.9% 29% 29% -40.4%
all 128 +7.1% -3.1% 62% 61% -0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.1% 61% -0.0%
10% -12.4% 60% -9.6%
15% -20.9% 52% -18.3%
20% -28.6% 45% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.44 · official $94.44 (match) · 272 history records