Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5fd…4004
crypto · 230 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$16 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses155 / 73
Open positions2
Markets (closed)228 / 230
History coverage11d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day56.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$9
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$17
other 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 192 -3.6% -12.8% 70% 40% -11.3%
≤30d 228 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 39% -12.1%
≤90d 228 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 39% -12.1%
all 228 -5.1% -14.1% 68% 39% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 39% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 14% -20.5%
15% -29.8% 7% -28.2%
20% -36.7% 3% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.65 · official $6.65 (match) · 787 history records