trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +92.2% | +73.9% | 53% | 53% | +6.0% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +91.0% | +72.8% | 55% | 55% | +7.0% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +87.3% | +69.4% | 59% | 59% | +8.4% |
| all | 22 | +87.3% | +69.4% | 59% | 59% | +8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +69.4% | 59% | +8.4% |
| 10% | +53.2% | 59% | -2.0% |
| 15% | +38.4% | 59% | -11.5% |
| 20% | +24.8% | 36% | -20.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $300 | $272 | −$28 (-9%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-25%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$21 | +42% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $76 | +$30 | +40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $162 | +$77 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$48 | +234% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$66 | +321% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $76 | −$59 | -78% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$63 | +307% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$144 | +1396% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $76 | −$75 | -99% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $62 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $152 | +$147 | +97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $152 | +$157 | +103% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$43 | +43% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $31 | +$21 | +68% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $20 | +$11 | +54% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $51 | +$23 | +46% |