trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $73 | −$70 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11? | Jun 10 | $80 | −$77 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11? | Jun 10 | $81 | −$78 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on June 10? | Jun 09 | $96 | −$92 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $99 | −$95 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $115 | −$110 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $126 | −$121 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $136 | −$130 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $100 | +$662 | +661% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $71 | −$68 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $68 | −$66 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $53 | +$225 | +425% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $73 | −$71 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 6? | Jun 06 | $77 | −$74 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6? | Jun 06 | $97 | −$92 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $47 | +$214 | +454% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | Jun 04 | $217 | −$208 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $6 | +$24 | +381% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $246 | −$236 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $277 | −$266 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on June 2? | Jun 01 | $314 | −$300 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2? | Jun 01 | $342 | −$327 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 1? | Jun 01 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 1? | Jun 01 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +14.9% | +4.0% | 19% | 19% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -3.3% | -12.6% | 17% | 17% | -55.7% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -3.3% | -12.6% | 17% | 17% | -55.7% |
| all | 24 | -3.3% | -12.6% | 17% | 17% | -55.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -12.6% | 17% | -55.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -20.9% | 17% | -59.9% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 17% | -63.8% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 17% | -67.3% |