Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5ec…3630
crypto · 250 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$214 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$215 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$215
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses139 / 110
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions2
Markets (closed)249 / 250
History coverage17d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day188.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$106
14 days−$86
30 days−$215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 52¢ 78¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+51%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$257
sports 20% +$45
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -11.1% -19.6% 63% 59% -26.9%
≤30d 249 -1.4% -10.8% 56% 49% -12.0%
≤90d 249 -1.4% -10.8% 56% 49% -12.0%
all 249 -1.4% -10.8% 56% 49% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover188.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 49% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 37% -20.4%
15% -27.1% 30% -28.1%
20% -34.2% 20% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.85 · official $7.05 (match) · 3500 history records