Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:07:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5eb…6be8
crypto · 1108 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$118 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1016 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1108 / 1108
History coverage20d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day55.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$42
14 days−$75
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$118
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 13h
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 241 -1.7% -11.1% 88% 27% -10.5%
≤30d 1108 -1.9% -11.3% 92% 15% -10.8%
≤90d 1108 -1.9% -11.3% 92% 15% -10.8%
all 1108 -1.9% -11.3% 92% 15% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 15% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 6% -19.3%
15% -27.5% 2% -27.1%
20% -34.6% 1% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2131 history records