Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5cf…39d5
sports · 16 markets active 2h ago
5.5score
+$31 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$19
Realized+$32
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses9 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)13 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 3 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$32
14 days+$32
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 59¢ 60¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 48¢ 48¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 80¢ 69¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 68¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$15 +75%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $7 +$8 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% +$16
other 38% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $8 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 80¢ $3 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $8 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 75¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 80¢ $2 3h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 18¢ $2 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 25¢ $4 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 31¢ $5 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $8 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $8 12h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $7 12h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 70¢ $7 12h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 68¢ $2 16h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 68¢ $2 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 77¢ $2 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $2 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 42¢ $14 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $2 18h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $2 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $2 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 18h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $2 18h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $2 18h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 18h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $3 18h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $7 19h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 77¢ $2 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +25.6% +13.7% 69% 69% +19.5%
≤30d 13 +25.6% +13.7% 69% 69% +19.5%
≤90d 13 +25.6% +13.7% 69% 69% +19.5%
all 13 +25.6% +13.7% 69% 69% +19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +13.7% 69% +19.5%
10% ← realistic here +2.8% 69% +8.1%
15% -7.1% 46% -2.3%
20% -16.2% 23% -11.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.19 · official $19.19 (match) · 43 history records