Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:27:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5b7…1454
sports · 242 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$1,425 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,129 · open −$65
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$689
Realized−$2,129
Unrealized−$65
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses89 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$778
Open positions5
Markets (closed)237 / 242
History coverage620d
Avg bet$311
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 5 History 237 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$1,959
14 days−$1,676
30 days−$2,341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 53¢ 81¢ $309 $476 +$166 (+54%)
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 30¢ 65¢ $100 $213 +$113 (+113%)
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) MOUZ 31¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 47¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) TheMongolz 38¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 56¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 40¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 40¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 26¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) GIANTX 44¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 38¢ 0¢ $660 $0 −$660 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $390 $0 −$390 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 51¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Chwalinska 43¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Heroic 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 42¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Kalinskaya 36¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) 9z 39¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 51¢ 0¢ $352 $0 −$352 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $152 +$111 +73%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $303 −$300 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $153 −$150 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $152 −$150 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $509 +$590 +116%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $205 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $204 −$200 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $254 +$264 +104%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $476 −$470 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $396 −$390 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $204 −$8 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $395 −$390 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $203 −$9 -4%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $190 −$188 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $761 +$918 +120%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $203 +$214 +105%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $456 +$362 +79%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $255 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $456 +$363 +80%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $153 −$98 -64%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $153 −$150 -98%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $103 −$15 -14%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $405 −$370 -91%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,524 −$1,500 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $406 +$335 +83%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $316 +$477 +151%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $252 −$248 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $507 −$355 -70%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $506 −$500 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $203 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $202 +$115 +57%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $251 +$131 +52%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $911 −$900 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $203 +$231 +114%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1,010 +$459 +46%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $304 −$300 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $153 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $304 −$300 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $203 +$162 +80%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $358 −$350 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $254 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $253 −$250 -99%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $203 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $203 −$200 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$850
other 10% −$1,181
crypto 6% −$139
economics 3% −$2
politics 2% −$13
world 0% −$7
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 53¢ $172 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $263 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 53¢ $141 3h
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $51 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $152 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 47¢ $152 3h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 38¢ $97 9h
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 31¢ $102 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 67¢ $151 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $153 25h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $152 25h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $152 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 94¢ $1,099 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 25¢ $102 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 34¢ $204 29h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $518 29h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $254 29h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $254 32h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 42¢ $254 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 22¢ $102 32h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $29 46h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $304 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $172 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 53¢ $193 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 35¢ $196 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $192 3d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 55¢ $194 3d
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 56¢ $190 3d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $203 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -34.4% -40.6% 29% 29% -29.7%
≤30d 175 -15.0% -23.1% 39% 39% -13.7%
≤90d 179 -12.4% -20.7% 40% 40% -12.8%
all 237 -12.6% -21.0% 38% 35% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 35% -12.0%
10% -28.5% 35% -20.4%
15% -35.4% 32% -28.1%
20% -41.8% 31% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $689.30 · official $689.36 (match) · 498 history records