Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5b6…e7a3
crypto · 27 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses25 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +2.8% -7.0% 93% 30% -6.4%
≤30d 27 +2.8% -7.0% 93% 30% -6.4%
≤90d 27 +2.8% -7.0% 93% 30% -6.4%
all 27 +2.8% -7.0% 93% 30% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 30% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 19% -15.4%
15% -24.0% 4% -23.5%
20% -31.5% 0% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 54 history records