Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:46:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
A5 0xa5b0…b932 crypto 2220 markets active 6d ago coverage 49d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 49d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$85 (+1%) realized +$85 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%1075W / 898L
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day48.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$334
7 days−$334
14 days+$383
30 days+$445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$722
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -90.6% -91.5% 5% 5% -91.7%
≤30d 972 +20.6% +9.2% 62% 62% +5.1%
≤90d 1973 +8.8% -1.6% 54% 54% -4.8%
all 1973 +8.8% -1.6% 54% 54% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 54% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -11.0% 54% -13.9%
15% -19.6% 54% -22.2%
20% -27.5% 54% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses1075 / 898
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1973 / 2220
History coverage49d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day48.2
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1973 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records