Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5a5…0b49
crypto · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses14 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)27 / 30
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 2 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Yes 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +39%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $8 +$12 +158%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -65%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 +$1 +39%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$16
other 28% +$6
sports 6% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 38¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $4 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $11 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 52% -18.7%
≤30d 27 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 52% -18.7%
≤90d 27 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 52% -18.7%
all 27 -5.5% -14.5% 52% 52% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 52% -18.7%
10% -22.7% 52% -26.5%
15% -30.2% 52% -33.6%
20% -37.0% 33% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.96 · official $4.96 (match) · 51 history records