trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 58% | 37% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 58% | 37% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 58% | 37% | -10.1% |
| all | 19 | -1.7% | -11.0% | 58% | 37% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 37% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 32% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 26% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 21% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 86¢ | 98¢ | $80 | $91 | +$11 (+13%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 80¢ | 76¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $6 | +$5 (+513%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 10¢ | 10¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 34¢ | 28¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-16%) |
| Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 15¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Spread: Tunisia (-1.5) | Tunisia | 7¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $110 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +262% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $50 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $215 | +$14 | +7% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $56 | +$26 | +46% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $290 | +$1 | +0% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +27% |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $12 | +$8 | +64% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Jun 12 | $70 | +$6 | +8% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $5 | +$5 | +89% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $110 | +$14 | +13% |