Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa596…73e0
other · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 28¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +138%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 41¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +19.3% +7.9% 50% 50% +8.9%
≤30d 2 +19.3% +7.9% 50% 50% +8.9%
≤90d 2 +19.3% +7.9% 50% 50% +8.9%
all 2 +19.3% +7.9% 50% 50% +8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.9% 50% +8.9%
10% -2.4% 50% -1.6%
15% -11.8% 50% -11.1%
20% -20.5% 50% -19.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 4 history records