trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 29% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 29% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 26 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 46% | 4% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 4% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 27 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 24 | $31 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 05 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 15 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31? | May 14 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 9–16? | May 12 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files? | May 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the San Francisco 49ers? | May 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | May 10 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 10 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | May 10 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | May 09 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 08 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| UEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Bodø/Glimt (To Advance) | May 08 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | May 08 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 ele | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings? | May 07 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 06 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday? | Mar 11 | $16 | $0 | +2% |