Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa58d…d7c4
crypto · 298 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$152 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$165
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses247 / 47
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)294 / 298
History coverage96d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 3 History 294 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$45
14 days−$119
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? No 95¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? No 95¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? No 95¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Auston Trusty be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Brenden Aaronson be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 F Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Miles Robinson be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIF Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Sebastian Berhalter be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 202 Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Matt Freese be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA W Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Cristian Roldan be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FI Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Iqraam Rayners: 5+ shots Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Obed Vargas: 1+ goals Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Iqraam Rayners: 1+ goals Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 9? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$4 -74%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$4 -82%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$3 -69%
Will JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $10 +$1 +5%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $10 +$1 +5%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $10 $0 +4%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $10 $0 +5%
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 +$1 +5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 +$1 +5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 +$1 +5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 35% −$49
other 35% −$63
finance 16% −$29
tech 7% −$15
sports 6% −$12
culture 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? A BUY 8¢ $342 13h
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? BUY No 95¢ $5 20h
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? BUY No 95¢ $5 22h
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? BUY No 95¢ $5 22h
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? BUY No 95¢ $5 27h
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? BUY No 95¢ $5 27h
Will Auston Trusty be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA BUY No 95¢ $5 30h
Will Brenden Aaronson be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 F BUY No 95¢ $5 40h
Will Miles Robinson be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIF BUY No 95¢ $5 40h
Will Sebastian Berhalter be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 202 BUY No 95¢ $5 40h
Will Cristian Roldan be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FI BUY No 95¢ $5 40h
Will Matt Freese be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA W BUY Yes 95¢ $5 40h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $5 2d
Iqraam Rayners: 5+ shots BUY No 95¢ $5 2d
Iqraam Rayners: 1+ goals BUY No 95¢ $5 2d
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists BUY No 95¢ $5 2d
Obed Vargas: 1+ goals BUY No 95¢ $5 2d
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 9? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 4d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 4d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 9? SELL Yes 30¢ $2 4d
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on June 9? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 4d
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on June 9? BUY No 96¢ $5 4d
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 9? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 4d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 9? BUY No 97¢ $5 4d
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 9? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 4d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on June 9? BUY No 95¢ $5 4d
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 9? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -11.4% -19.8% 83% 2% -21.5%
≤30d 292 -6.7% -15.5% 84% 13% -15.6%
≤90d 294 -6.9% -15.7% 84% 14% -15.6%
all 294 -6.9% -15.7% 84% 14% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 14% -15.6%
10% -23.8% 9% -23.7%
15% -31.2% 3% -31.0%
20% -37.9% 2% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.20 · official $14.20 (match) · 623 history records