trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +59.7% | +44.5% | 33% | 33% | +63.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +59.7% | +44.5% | 33% | 33% | +63.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +59.5% | +44.3% | 30% | 30% | +25.2% |
| all | 19 | +24.0% | +12.2% | 26% | 21% | +49.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.2% | 21% | +49.7% |
| 10% | +1.4% | 21% | +35.3% |
| 15% | -8.4% | 21% | +22.3% |
| 20% | -17.3% | 21% | +10.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $1,015 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $307 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 15 | $334 | +$1,702 | +509% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $858 | +$2,142 | +250% |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | Apr 08 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 08 | $544 | +$2,656 | +488% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | Mar 28 | $1,353 | −$1,353 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Mar 28 | $1,012 | −$528 | -52% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Mar 11 | $36 | −$9 | -24% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026? | Mar 08 | $430 | −$428 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026? | Mar 02 | $600 | −$535 | -89% |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | Feb 28 | $300 | −$143 | -48% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $2,300 | +$75 | +3% |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | Feb 28 | $3,080 | +$10,920 | +354% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 26 | $1,740 | −$1,260 | -72% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 20 | $245 | −$245 | -100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | Feb 20 | $745 | −$476 | -64% |