trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 14% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 21 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 10% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 02 | $287 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 21 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 17 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 08 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 05 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 15 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 07 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 24 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 19 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 13 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 10 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 07 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 03 | $96 | $0 | +0% |