Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T07:21:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A5 0xa57d…701f sports 78 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$15,321 (+6%) realized +$13,338 · open +$1,983
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate64%49W / 28L
Whale WR65%big bets
Drawdown59%max
Avg bet$3,278per market
Trades / day66.2pace
Fees−$4,117est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$6,502now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 36d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% +$24,152
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +3.3% -6.5% 71% 43% +4.2%
≤30d 57 +9.6% -0.8% 65% 49% +2.2%
≤90d 77 +6.0% -4.1% 64% 47% -1.5%
all 77 +6.0% -4.1% 64% 47% -1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 47% -1.5%
10% -13.2% 39% -11.0%
15% ← realistic here -21.6% 30% -19.6%
20% -29.3% 19% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 65% (≥$4,162) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +9% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
23.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,436 vs −$1,721 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.46 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$6,502
Realized+$13,338
Unrealized+$1,983
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses49 / 28
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$4,117
Open positions1
Markets (closed)77 / 78
History coverage36d
Avg bet$3,278
Trades / day66.2
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 77 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner T1 69¢ 100¢ $4,518 $6,502 +$1,983 (+44%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $16,315 +$9,066 +56%
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $2,400 +$100 +4%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 29 $1,440 −$769 -53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? Jun 28 $49 +$1 +2%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $13,595 −$10,852 -80%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $16,417 +$4,964 +30%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $10,292 +$6,682 +65%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $7,301 +$4,187 +57%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $4,676 −$4,226 -90%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,874 −$1,874 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $12,571 +$1,239 +10%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5,636 −$999 -18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10,572 +$3,309 +31%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $983 −$601 -61%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,445 −$466 -19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $4,234 +$1,824 +43%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,452 +$1,389 +31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $9,576 +$1,393 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $2,867 −$2,345 -82%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2,322 +$1,748 +75%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $245 +$555 +226%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 08 $9,150 +$3,587 +39%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $87 +$223 +257%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3,247 −$2,651 -82%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $316 −$136 -43%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,827 −$788 -43%
Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026? Jun 06 $277 +$1 +0%
Will Karmine Corp qualify to MSI 2026? Jun 06 $213 +$1 +0%
Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? Jun 06 $245 $0 +0%
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1? Jun 06 $499 +$1 +0%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $4,073 +$1,152 +28%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $842 −$489 -58%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $4,162 +$1,629 +39%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $330 −$320 -97%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,682 −$1,467 -87%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $45 −$30 -66%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3,791 +$564 +15%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $194 +$145 +75%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $2,204 +$250 +11%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,297 +$831 +64%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $940 +$134 +14%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $11 +$1 +14%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,336 +$1,237 +92%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $40 +$39 +97%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,292 +$832 +64%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 31 $2,871 +$272 +10%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $1,085 +$395 +36%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,489 −$422 -28%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $8 −$5 -68%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 30 $787 +$34 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 30¢ $49 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $115 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $5 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $6 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $12 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $15 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $49 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $200 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $80 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $131 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $217 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $3 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $30 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $65 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $185 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $250 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 51¢ $255 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $125 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $30 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $30 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $100 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $125 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 50¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,501.74 · official $6,501.74 (match) · 2454 history records