Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T03:54:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A5 0xa56e…1a13 crypto 1715 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$121 (-1%) realized −$121 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate94%1625W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day73.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$258
7 days−$260
14 days−$218
30 days−$306
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 479 -4.6% -13.7% 91% 1% -16.1%
≤30d 1737 -1.6% -11.0% 94% 1% -12.1%
≤90d 1737 -1.6% -11.0% 94% 1% -12.1%
all 1737 -1.6% -11.0% 94% 1% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 1% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 0% -20.6%
15% -27.3% 0% -28.2%
20% -34.4% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$121
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1625 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1737 / 1715
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day73.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1737 Trades
no open positions (109 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 28 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 28 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 28 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 28 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 28 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 28 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 27 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 27 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 27 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 27 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 27 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 27 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 27 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $7 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 27 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 27 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 27 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 27 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records