Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa56d…7ed8
crypto · 1347 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$119 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$119 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1057 / 289
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1346 / 1347
History coverage48d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day67.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1346 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$34
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 71¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 655 -1.6% -11.0% 80% 60% -13.7%
≤30d 852 -1.6% -11.0% 80% 55% -14.3%
≤90d 1346 +0.5% -9.1% 79% 53% -13.5%
all 1346 +0.5% -9.1% 79% 53% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 53% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 28% -21.8%
15% -25.7% 12% -29.3%
20% -33.0% 5% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.74 (match) · 3500 history records