Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:43:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa564…4d08
crypto · 1348 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$91 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses829 / 519
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1348 / 1348
History coverage13d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day204.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1348 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$141
7 days+$419
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 87¢ 90¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+4%)
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? No 94¢ 99¢ $28 $30 +$1 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $105 +$286 +271%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$116 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$51 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $208 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$20 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$60 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$22 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$50 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$19 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $84 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $83 −$44 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $42 +$68 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$30 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $83 +$46 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $40 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$86 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$2 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$93
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $391 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $103 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $104 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $160 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 840 -2.6% -11.8% 64% 55% -9.3%
≤30d 1348 -1.8% -11.2% 61% 53% -10.4%
≤90d 1348 -1.8% -11.2% 61% 53% -10.4%
all 1348 -1.8% -11.2% 61% 53% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover204.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 53% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 38% -19.0%
15% -27.4% 24% -26.8%
20% -34.6% 14% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.39 · official $60.40 (match) · 3500 history records