Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa556…ed9a
other · 205 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$278 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$404 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$404
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses54 / 145
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)199 / 205
History coverage27d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 0 History 199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$392
7 days−$428
14 days−$401
30 days−$404
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
United States leading at halftime? No 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 27? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Poland vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-20? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will LDU de Quito vs. CA Lanús end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will FK Dukla Praha vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-31? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? No 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-01? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-02? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Wadi Degla SC win on 2026-05-28? No 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-03? No 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 27? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-07? No 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Club ABB vs. Club Always Ready end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Universitario win on 2026-06-01? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Club ABB win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will England win? Jun 14 $10 −$4 -38%
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $4 −$3 -91%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05? Jun 14 $73 −$73 -100%
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-28? Jun 14 $48 −$38 -78%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-18? Jun 14 $112 −$87 -77%
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater Jun 14 $6 −$3 -41%
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Jun 14 $16 −$1 -4%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Jun 14 $13 −$2 -13%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Jun 14 $6 −$1 -12%
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $50 −$40 -81%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -31%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $5 −$2 -42%
Will Club Always Ready vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo end in a draw? Jun 13 $29 −$23 -80%
Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 83% and 85%? Jun 13 $12 −$10 -85%
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 Jun 13 $4 $0 -2%
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026 Jun 13 $3 −$1 -19%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -22%
Will Exeter Chiefs win? Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -62%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +9%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$3 -15%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -6%
Will OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 −$6 -68%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -86%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Chicago White Sox winning after 5 innings? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $6 $0 -7%
Will CR Brasil vs. São Bernardo FC end in a draw? Jun 07 $20 $0 +2%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $6 −$6 -99%
Italy leading at halftime? Jun 07 $0 $0 +45%
Greece vs. Italy: Draw at halftime? Jun 07 $2 $0 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% −$259
sports 17% −$121
weather 5% −$12
world 4% −$6
politics 3% −$4
crypto 1% $0
finance 1% −$1
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-28? SELL No 21¢ $6 1h
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-18? SELL No 20¢ $25 1h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-28? SELL No 21¢ $5 2h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-28? BUY No 93¢ $23 2h
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater SELL No 48¢ $4 2h
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater BUY No 78¢ $6 2h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-28? BUY No 93¢ $25 2h
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? SELL Yes 44¢ $11 3h
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? SELL Yes 45¢ $4 3h
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? SELL Yes 32¢ $11 4h
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $5 4h
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 9¢ $1 15h
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 64¢ $5 15h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL No 5¢ $2 15h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 7¢ $2 16h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 16h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL No 23¢ $2 17h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY No 22¢ $2 17h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 8¢ $1 17h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 12¢ $2 17h
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 18h
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? SELL No 59¢ $8 18h
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? BUY No 49¢ $6 18h
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 41¢ $3 18h
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 69¢ $5 18h
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 18h
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 18h
Will Club Always Ready vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo end in a draw? SELL No 19¢ $6 19h
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 7¢ $2 19h
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 10¢ $3 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -45.4% -50.6% 12% 5% -62.9%
≤30d 199 -21.6% -29.1% 27% 20% -27.3%
≤90d 199 -21.6% -29.1% 27% 20% -27.3%
all 199 -21.6% -29.1% 27% 20% -27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.1% 20% -27.3%
10% -35.9% 14% -34.3%
15% -42.1% 11% -40.6%
20% -47.7% 8% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 561 history records