trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 35% | 35% | +20.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 32% | 32% | +17.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 32% | 32% | +17.6% |
| all | 25 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 32% | 32% | +17.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.8% | 32% | +17.6% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 32% | +6.3% |
| 15% | -31.2% | 32% | -4.0% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 32% | -13.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Haiti | 49¢ | 48¢ | $974 | $964 | −$10 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 60¢ | 80¢ | $652 | $863 | +$212 (+32%) |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 38¢ | 88¢ | $97 | $225 | +$128 (+132%) |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Under | 47¢ | 46¢ | $226 | $224 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $214 | $144 | −$70 (-33%) |
| Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 40¢ | $53 | $89 | +$36 (+67%) |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 8¢ | $64 | $30 | −$34 (-53%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 1¢ | $32 | $9 | −$22 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $355 | +$366 | +103% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $22 | −$21 | -97% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $55 | +$39 | +72% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $55 | +$48 | +88% |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $22 | −$21 | -96% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $33 | +$85 | +259% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $555 | +$795 | +143% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $333 | −$324 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama? | Jun 17 | $66 | −$63 | -96% |
| Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$39 | -96% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $44 | −$43 | -97% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? | Jun 16 | $22 | −$21 | -96% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $33 | −$32 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $33 | +$159 | +482% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -96% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $333 | −$326 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $66 | +$180 | +273% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$21 | -97% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $33 | −$32 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $188 | +$202 | +107% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $35 | −$34 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $33 | −$32 | -96% |