Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:33:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa546…4dce
crypto · 112 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses60 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)105 / 112
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day130.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 39¢ 38¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 26¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 78¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +266%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$25 +1843%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +374%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$8
sports 16% +$15
other 16% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 8m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $0 9m
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 10m
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 39¢ $15 11m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 12m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 17m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +12.4% +1.7% 57% 54% -7.9%
≤30d 105 +12.4% +1.7% 57% 54% -7.9%
≤90d 105 +12.4% +1.7% 57% 54% -7.9%
all 105 +12.4% +1.7% 57% 54% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 54% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -8.0% 46% -16.7%
15% -16.9% 34% -24.7%
20% -25.1% 28% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.99 · official $50.37 (match) · 290 history records