Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa542…efd1
crypto · 484 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$403 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$403 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$403
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses235 / 249
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)484 / 484
History coverage74d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 484 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$161
7 days−$161
14 days−$161
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$66 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$23 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$45 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$24 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 25 $1 +$2 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 24 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 24 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 23 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 23 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 23 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 23 $5 +$5 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$191
sports 4% −$199
other 1% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $17 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 11h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 37¢ $158 12h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Thiago Cigarran 11¢ $41 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $7 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -6.4% -15.3% 41% 38% -37.2%
≤30d 56 -19.5% -27.1% 41% 38% -38.5%
≤90d 484 -14.4% -22.5% 49% 40% -17.4%
all 484 -14.4% -22.5% 49% 40% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.5% 40% -17.4%
10% -29.9% 33% -25.3%
15% -36.7% 23% -32.5%
20% -42.9% 17% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1992 history records