Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa542…3f6c
crypto · 1909 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$302 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$302 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$302
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1009 / 675
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1684 / 1909
History coverage43d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1684 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$170
7 days+$128
14 days+$122
30 days+$487
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 16? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 16? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% +$394
weather 13% −$99
other 3% +$10
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 833 +2.8% -7.0% 89% 33% -7.2%
≤30d 1494 +20.1% +8.6% 62% 31% -4.7%
≤90d 1684 +14.3% +3.4% 60% 31% -7.3%
all 1684 +14.3% +3.4% 60% 31% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.4% 31% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -6.5% 18% -16.2%
15% -15.5% 13% -24.3%
20% -23.8% 12% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records