Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa540…0b43
other · 280 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$26,929 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,385 · open −$5,415
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31,904
Realized+$13,385
Unrealized−$5,415
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses72 / 68
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$32
Open positions332
Markets (closed)140 / 280
History coverage3d
Avg bet$500
Trades / day1014.9
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 332 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days+$13,385
14 days+$13,385
30 days+$13,385
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Down 57¢ 70¢ $1,379 $1,701 +$323 (+23%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 94¢ 93¢ $1,237 $1,228 −$9 (-1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? No 91¢ 97¢ $1,043 $1,112 +$69 (+7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 91¢ 86¢ $1,151 $1,085 −$65 (-6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? No 92¢ 94¢ $925 $935 +$10 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 75¢ 69¢ $922 $854 −$68 (-7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 82¢ 60¢ $1,057 $771 −$286 (-27%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Up 50¢ 30¢ $1,279 $762 −$518 (-40%)
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 12? Up 40¢ 46¢ $639 $731 +$93 (+14%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $613 $609 −$5 (-1%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 12? No 81¢ 82¢ $566 $574 +$8 (+1%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Down 40¢ 44¢ $502 $554 +$52 (+10%)
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Down 62¢ 60¢ $556 $545 −$10 (-2%)
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in June? No 98¢ 98¢ $492 $492 +$0 (+0%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 12? No 79¢ 95¢ $395 $475 +$80 (+20%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 87¢ 90¢ $435 $452 +$18 (+4%)
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 12? Down 35¢ 81¢ $154 $356 +$202 (+131%)
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 12? Down 59¢ 42¢ $473 $341 −$132 (-28%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? No 81¢ 66¢ $401 $327 −$74 (-19%)
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 12? Down 40¢ 54¢ $239 $322 +$84 (+35%)
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 12? Up 31¢ 19¢ $525 $320 −$205 (-39%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? No 67¢ 83¢ $246 $306 +$60 (+24%)
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 12? Down 39¢ 51¢ $237 $306 +$69 (+29%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? Yes 13¢ 18¢ $219 $299 +$79 (+36%)
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 12? Up 47¢ 57¢ $216 $264 +$47 (+22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $295 +$5 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$394 +39397%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $10 +$1,217 +12167%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,840 +$599 +32%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 12 $507 +$11 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 12 $846 +$189 +22%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? Jun 12 $814 +$161 +20%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,462 +$299 +20%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 11? Jun 12 $37 −$6 -16%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 11? Jun 12 $870 +$105 +12%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 11? Jun 12 $726 −$10 -1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,712 −$692 -40%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,490 −$125 -8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 12 $4,748 +$601 +13%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 12 $3,157 −$1,514 -48%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1,411 +$337 +24%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11? Jun 11 $912 +$438 +48%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $870 −$129 -15%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in June? Jun 11 $33 +$120 +363%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $235 +$8 +3%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in June? Jun 11 $73 +$78 +108%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $165 −$25 -15%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $68 −$68 -100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $218 −$68 -31%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $237 −$87 -37%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $296 −$56 -19%
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $382 −$75 -20%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $148 −$129 -87%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $146 −$94 -65%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $74 −$74 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $922 −$322 -35%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? Jun 11 $207 −$106 -51%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 11? Jun 11 $368 −$368 -100%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $554 +$83 +15%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,490 −$271 -18%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? Jun 11 $519 −$40 -8%
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $363 +$37 +10%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $458 +$122 +27%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? Jun 11 $530 −$30 -6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 11? Jun 11 $53 −$28 -52%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $207 +$93 +45%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June? Jun 11 $21 +$244 +1164%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in June? Jun 11 $16 +$234 +1462%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in June? Jun 11 $90 +$10 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 53% +$7,762
other 43% +$590
tech 3% +$22
sports 2% −$403
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 52¢ $0 0m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 12? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 0m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY No 87¢ $133 0m
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 79¢ $18 0m
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? BUY Yes 40¢ $40 0m
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 78¢ $11 1m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 36¢ $18 1m
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in June? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 1m
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 24¢ $24 2m
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in June? BUY No 44¢ $44 2m
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $136 in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $7 2m
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $136 in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 2m
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $136 in June? BUY Yes 35¢ $27 2m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 38¢ $2 2m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 in June? BUY No 67¢ $6 3m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY No 87¢ $302 3m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 14¢ $0 4m
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in June? BUY Yes 7¢ $6 4m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 37¢ $13 4m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 37¢ $12 4m
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 14¢ $0 5m
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 81¢ $3 5m
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 81¢ $33 5m
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 14¢ $0 5m
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 81¢ $40 5m
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 80¢ $1 5m
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 81¢ $8 5m
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 50¢ $50 5m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 58¢ $39 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+206.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +238.2% +206.0% 51% 39% -2.8%
≤30d 140 +238.2% +206.0% 51% 39% -2.8%
≤90d 140 +238.2% +206.0% 51% 39% -2.8%
all 140 +238.2% +206.0% 51% 39% -2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1014.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +206.0% 39% -2.8%
10% +176.7% 32% -12.1%
15% ← realistic here +150.0% 29% -20.6%
20% +125.5% 26% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31,904.07 · official $31,904.59 (match) · 3500 history records