trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -30.5% | -37.1% | 0% | 0% | -37.2% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -30.5% | -37.1% | 0% | 0% | -37.2% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 50% | 33% | -5.5% |
| all | 7 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 57% | 29% | -5.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.8% | 29% | -5.3% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 29% | -14.3% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 29% | -22.6% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 14% | -30.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $345 | $371 | +$26 (+8%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $251 | $330 | +$79 (+31%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $65 | $63 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $330 | −$101 | -31% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $111 | −$34 | -30% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | May 11 | $233 | +$90 | +38% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $17 | −$3 | -20% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 15 | $162 | +$85 | +52% |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 03 | $30 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Mar 14 | $45 | +$4 | +9% |