Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa533…755f
sports · 142 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$189
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses62 / 74
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions6
Markets (closed)136 / 142
History coverage40d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$10
14 days−$23
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner OpTic Texas 69¢ 68¢ $70 $69 −$0 (-1%)
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ 72¢ $59 $59 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 67¢ 65¢ $38 $37 −$1 (-3%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 67¢ 66¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier FaZe Vegas 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+99%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Wildcard Gaming 31¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Iryna Shymanovich 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs MANA eSports 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage GMBLERS ESPORTS 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage Heretics 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner Nigma Galaxy 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? Down 1¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner PlayTime 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecai Michele Ribecai 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$18 +49%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$6 +46%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $3 $0 -6%
Set 1 Winner: Martinez vs Balshaw Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $12 −$12 -99%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$3 +140%
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League S Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $2 +$2 +75%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 08 $12 −$1 -6%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $4 −$3 -98%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $16 +$10 +65%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $16 +$11 +70%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $13 +$10 +83%
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Leicestershire Foxes vs Northamptonshire S Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7 −$7 -99%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $7 +$5 +70%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $16 +$10 +65%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Cha Jun 06 $8 +$5 +65%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire Jun 05 $4 +$5 +129%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $16 +$10 +65%
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Group A Jun 05 $13 −$13 -99%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 02 $7 −$7 -99%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 02 $5 +$4 +90%
Foggia: Tatiana Prozorova vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 02 $7 +$5 +79%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 02 $8 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $4 +$5 +140%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Nicholas Ionel vs Laurin Aerne Jun 02 $8 −$1 -14%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Alba Rey Garcia vs Carolina Kuhl Jun 02 $3 +$1 +24%
Birmingham: James Duckworth vs Billy Harris Jun 02 $6 $0 -3%
Foggia: Despina Papamichail vs Chloe Paquet Jun 02 $6 −$2 -31%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $2 $0 -19%
Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedi Jun 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun Jun 01 $13 −$3 -20%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $11 −$5 -39%
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Ameri Jun 01 $18 −$2 -11%
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecai Jun 01 $3 −$3 -98%
Foggia: Tatiana Pieri vs Victoria Bosio Jun 01 $9 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner Jun 01 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Caltanissetta: Conor Gannon vs Sebastiano Cocola Jun 01 $10 −$1 -11%
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Osaka Jun 01 $3 −$1 -28%
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Vilius Gaubas Jun 01 $6 +$9 +158%
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Arnaldi Jun 01 $13 +$4 +29%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 4 Winner Jun 01 $32 −$6 -19%
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Jun 01 $7 −$7 -99%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Kilian Feldbausch Jun 01 $6 $0 -7%
Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Parry Jun 01 $3 −$2 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$46
crypto 21% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North BUY Wildcard Gaming 31¢ $2 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $2 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $13 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $1 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $2 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $13 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $1 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $1 1h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $13 2h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Boston Breach - Game 2 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 71¢ $13 2h
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY FaZe Vegas 50¢ $5 3h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 65¢ $10 4h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 65¢ $10 4h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 65¢ $10 4h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 69¢ $12 7h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 69¢ $12 7h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 68¢ $1 7h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 69¢ $10 7h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 69¢ $12 9h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 69¢ $12 9h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY OpTic Texas 69¢ $12 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $11 10h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 69¢ $12 12h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 68¢ $12 12h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $11 13h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $12 13h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A SELL UCAM Esports Club 48¢ $2 30h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A SELL Misa Esports 51¢ $2 30h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY UCAM Esports Club 44¢ $1 30h
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY Misa Esports 58¢ $2 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +5.3% -4.8% 55% 55% -5.4%
≤30d 97 -2.6% -11.9% 44% 38% -5.1%
≤90d 136 -8.3% -17.0% 46% 35% -11.4%
all 136 -8.3% -17.0% 46% 35% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 35% -11.4%
10% -25.0% 32% -19.8%
15% -32.2% 29% -27.6%
20% -38.9% 23% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $189.11 · official $189.11 (match) · 577 history records