Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:20:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa530…e124
sports · 85 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$53 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$68 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$306
Realized+$68
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses77 / 5
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions3
Markets (closed)82 / 85
History coverage1d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day117.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 3 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68
7 days+$68
14 days+$68
30 days+$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 93¢ 100¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Under 93¢ 93¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Under 93¢ 92¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 93¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 93¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Under 93¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 93¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 93¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $87 +$7 +8%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +8%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $52 +$4 +8%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $99 +$8 +8%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $99 +$9 +9%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $32 +$2 +7%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$7 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$122
other 31% +$197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 93¢ $100 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 93¢ $0 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 1h
Spread: Australia (-2.5) BUY Türkiye 93¢ $63 1h
Spread: Australia (-2.5) BUY Türkiye 93¢ $37 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $0 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $68 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $32 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 93¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $7 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $71 2h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 93¢ $9 2h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 93¢ $100 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $10 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 93¢ $90 2h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 93¢ $100 3h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY No 93¢ $100 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 93¢ $100 3h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 93¢ $8 3h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 93¢ $31 3h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 93¢ $13 3h
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Australia 93¢ $48 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $100 3h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY No 93¢ $100 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 93¢ $52 4h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 93¢ $100 4h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 93¢ $100 4h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 93¢ $100 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +0.9% -8.7% 94% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 82 +0.9% -8.7% 94% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 82 +0.9% -8.7% 94% 0% -8.8%
all 82 +0.9% -8.7% 94% 0% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover117.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 0% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 0% -17.5%
15% -25.4% 0% -25.5%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $306.43 · official $306.43 (match) · 194 history records