trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 56¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-99%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Up | 67¢ | 0¢ | $60 | $0 | −$60 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Up | 76¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $0 | −$18 (-100%) |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | Down | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Jun 13 | $41 | −$18 | -44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $25 | +$5 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Jun 13 | $7 | +$2 | +28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Jun 13 | $12 | +$2 | +18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Jun 13 | $25 | +$9 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Jun 13 | $20 | +$20 | +99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $61 | +$19 | +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $84 | −$2 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Jun 13 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $36 | +$26 | +72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $18 | +$8 | +41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Jun 13 | $13 | +$6 | +48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Jun 13 | $18 | +$4 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | Jun 13 | $25 | −$7 | -28% |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tam | May 04 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 | May 04 | $94 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the | May 04 | $1 | −$1 | -86% |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most | May 04 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seat | May 04 | $7 | −$5 | -70% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 71% | 71% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 71% | 71% | -5.9% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 58% | 53% | -8.4% |
| all | 19 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 58% | 53% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.4% | 53% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -25.3% | 37% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -32.5% | 21% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -39.2% | 11% | -32.5% |