Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:33:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa516…fb18
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$11 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses17 / 24
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions9
Markets (closed)41 / 50
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 9 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 34¢ 36¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Vitality 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 40¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? Yes 36¢ 37¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 17¢ 33¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+94%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 17¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Saab 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B XCLAN 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$18 +874%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$6 +109%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$3
sports 33% +$14
other 14% $0
weather 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $3 49m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 50¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 17¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 22h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 22h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 17¢ $2 22h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY XCLAN 20¢ $1 22h
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Saab 17¢ $1 22h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $11 22h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $4 25h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $5 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 10¢ $2 27h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $5 40h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 40h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $6 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $9 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 42h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 83¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 42h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 42h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 19¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -10.6% -19.1% 41% 39% -0.6%
≤30d 41 -10.6% -19.1% 41% 39% -0.6%
≤90d 41 -10.6% -19.1% 41% 39% -0.6%
all 41 -10.6% -19.1% 41% 39% -0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.1% 39% -0.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 29% -10.1%
15% -33.9% 24% -18.8%
20% -40.4% 20% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.39 · official $26.39 (match) · 85 history records