Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa509…ae46
sports · 161 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$2,694 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,285 · open −$1,591
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$8,609
Realized+$4,285
Unrealized−$1,591
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses79 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$336
Open positions51
Markets (closed)117 / 161
History coverage2d
Avg bet$202
Trades / day2043.3
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 51 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,285
7 days+$4,285
14 days+$4,285
30 days+$4,285
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 68¢ 100¢ $1,122 $1,641 +$518 (+46%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 39¢ 60¢ $653 $1,007 +$354 (+54%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 38¢ 65¢ $497 $859 +$363 (+73%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 65¢ 40¢ $1,065 $645 −$420 (-39%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 41¢ 56¢ $414 $563 +$149 (+36%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 59¢ 35¢ $884 $522 −$362 (-41%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 56¢ 44¢ $460 $367 −$92 (-20%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 73¢ 92¢ $221 $279 +$58 (+26%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 77¢ 100¢ $168 $218 +$50 (+29%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 65¢ 81¢ $170 $212 +$42 (+25%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 44¢ 56¢ $134 $168 +$34 (+25%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka England 83¢ 88¢ $145 $154 +$9 (+6%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $126 $128 +$3 (+2%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 68¢ 66¢ $130 $127 −$3 (-2%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 33¢ 36¢ $94 $101 +$7 (+8%)
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Rwanda 64¢ 100¢ $65 $101 +$36 (+56%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 52¢ 44¢ $115 $99 −$16 (-14%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 62¢ $93 $94 +$1 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $93 $94 +$1 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $84 $83 −$1 (-1%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 58¢ 56¢ $87 $83 −$4 (-4%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan India 82¢ 86¢ $71 $74 +$4 (+5%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 72¢ 64¢ $76 $68 −$7 (-10%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 28¢ 34¢ $54 $64 +$10 (+19%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 78¢ 79¢ $61 $62 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $0 $0 +18%
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-28? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $157 +$30 +19%
Libema Open (Doubles): Detiuc/Khromacheva vs Aoyama/Liang Jun 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $986 −$46 -5%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $24 −$18 -75%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $51 +$27 +54%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $672 +$754 +112%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $708 +$70 +10%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Dalila Jakupovic Jun 12 $52 −$3 -6%
ITF Zagreb: Mia Ristic vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 12 $22 +$5 +22%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $17 +$13 +78%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $179 +$43 +24%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $42 −$10 -25%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $22 −$21 -98%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $386 +$32 +8%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $296 +$56 +19%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $28 +$8 +28%
Libema Open (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Haverlag/Lumsden Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Manon Leonard Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $88 +$40 +45%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $158 −$4 -3%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $55 +$10 +18%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $200 +$29 +15%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $252 +$71 +28%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Jun 12 $91 +$18 +20%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $261 +$75 +29%
ITF Wuning: Anchisa Chanta vs Mai Hontama Jun 12 $26 +$6 +24%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $362 −$112 -31%
Bratislava (Doubles): Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Barton/Duda Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Guimaraes: Angelina Voloshchuk vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Denisa Zoldakova vs Raluca Georgiana Serban Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $789 −$39 -5%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $466 +$65 +14%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $289 +$49 +17%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $398 +$109 +27%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $1,067 +$40 +4%
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Appleton/Pridankina Jun 11 $14 +$10 +72%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $118 +$25 +21%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $250 −$13 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $1,195 −$23 -2%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $182 −$9 -5%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $485 −$7 -1%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $155 −$22 -14%
Libema Open (Doubles): Balaji/Ram vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 11 $6 +$91 +1533%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Jana Kovackova Jun 11 $34 −$5 -16%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $111 +$38 +35%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 11 $59 +$10 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$1,990
other 9% +$704
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 54¢ $16 0m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 15¢ $5 0m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 35¢ $11 1m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 68¢ $21 1m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 16¢ $5 2m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 67¢ $20 2m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 17¢ $2 3m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 68¢ $5 3m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 68¢ $20 3m
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 82¢ $25 4m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 64¢ $3 4m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Lulu Sun 12¢ $4 5m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 66¢ $3 5m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 60¢ $13 6m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 63¢ $19 6m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 61¢ $18 7m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 24¢ $7 8m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 39¢ $10 9m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 40¢ $12 9m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 41¢ $12 9m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 97¢ $17 9m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 39¢ $12 9m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 46¢ $10 9m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 41¢ $12 9m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 94¢ $16 10m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $6 10m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 95¢ $10 10m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $6 10m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 41¢ $8 10m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 42¢ $3 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 +33.7% +21.0% 68% 50% +6.7%
≤30d 117 +33.7% +21.0% 68% 50% +6.7%
≤90d 117 +33.7% +21.0% 68% 50% +6.7%
all 117 +33.7% +21.0% 68% 50% +6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2043.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.0% 50% +6.7%
10% ← realistic here +9.4% 32% -3.5%
15% -1.2% 21% -12.9%
20% -10.9% 16% -21.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,609.00 · official $8,608.45 (match) · 3500 history records