trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 33% | 20% | -19.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 33% | 20% | -19.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 33% | 20% | -19.1% |
| all | 15 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 33% | 20% | -19.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.5% | 20% | -19.1% |
| 10% | -30.8% | 13% | -26.8% |
| 15% | -37.5% | 13% | -33.9% |
| 20% | -43.6% | 7% | -40.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 72¢ | 94¢ | $104 | $136 | +$32 (+31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$4 | -80% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$19 | -96% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$12 | -60% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -84% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $120 | +$22 | +18% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$6 | +595% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $109 | +$6 | +5% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$4 | -77% |
| Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-1 through 4 games? | Jun 11 | $6 | −$5 | -93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +5% |