Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:56:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A4 0xa4ea…3b6f crypto 1752 markets active 1h ago coverage 67d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 67d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1737W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day26.2pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$1
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -20.0% -27.6% 79% 0% -27.5%
≤30d 504 -4.4% -13.5% 95% 0% -13.5%
≤90d 1774 -1.2% -10.6% 98% 0% -10.6%
all 1774 -1.2% -10.6% 98% 0% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 0% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 0% -19.2%
15% -27.0% 0% -27.0%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1737 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1774 / 1752
History coverage67d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1774 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.00 · official $1.00 (match) · 3500 history records