Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa4e8…b09e
crypto · 548 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$226 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$226 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$226
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses345 / 203
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)548 / 548
History coverage150d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$4
14 days−$33
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Kings vs. Celtics Kings 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 69¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Thunder 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -68%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$148
sports 3% −$75
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -1.2% -10.6% 71% 57% -14.0%
≤30d 534 -2.5% -11.8% 64% 51% -15.4%
≤90d 535 -2.2% -11.5% 64% 52% -15.3%
all 548 -3.8% -13.0% 63% 51% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 51% -16.7%
10% -21.3% 36% -24.6%
15% -28.9% 21% -31.9%
20% -35.9% 9% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1316 history records