Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:01:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa4c1…0f60
crypto · 871 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,523 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,523 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,523
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses277 / 594
Open positions0
Markets (closed)871 / 871
History coverage29d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day98.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 871 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,162
7 days−$9,394
14 days−$8,340
30 days−$6,523
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$47 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$33 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$53 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$24 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $110 −$14 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$39 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$18 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$18 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$32 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$8 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$12 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$11 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6,523
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 0¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $43 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-41.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 757 -52.7% -57.2% 24% 19% -43.2%
≤30d 871 -35.8% -41.9% 32% 28% -29.6%
≤90d 871 -35.8% -41.9% 32% 28% -29.6%
all 871 -35.8% -41.9% 32% 28% -29.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.9% 28% -29.6%
10% ← realistic here -47.5% 25% -36.3%
15% -52.5% 22% -42.5%
20% -57.2% 17% -48.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records