Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:51:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa487…9439
sports · 137 markets active 0h ago
7.0score
+$6,473 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,529 · open −$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,529
Realized+$6,529
Unrealized−$56
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses63 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$725
Open positions13
Markets (closed)124 / 137
Avg bet$375
Trades / day22.7
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 13 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,014
7 days−$960
14 days+$6,529
30 days+$6,529
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 54¢ 52¢ $1,015 $982 −$33 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 68¢ $867 $861 −$6 (-1%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 55¢ 55¢ $636 $630 −$5 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 65¢ 64¢ $577 $573 −$4 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 53¢ 52¢ $431 $425 −$6 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 68¢ $316 $314 −$2 (-1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 53¢ 52¢ $168 $167 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Virtus.pro 50¢ 50¢ $164 $165 +$2 (+1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 8¢ 8¢ $102 $108 +$6 (+6%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Natus Vincere 41¢ 41¢ $82 $82 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Virtus.pro 50¢ 50¢ $75 $75 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 50¢ 49¢ $75 $74 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage G2 Ares 34¢ 32¢ $76 $73 −$3 (-4%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 17¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Dplus 78¢ 0¢ $420 $0 −$420 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 57¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner WLGaming Esports 15¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs ZOTIX 40¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs AM Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 35¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 37¢ 0¢ $319 $0 −$319 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $463 $0 −$463 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 46¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Ghost Gaming GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs Ghost Gaming GC 28¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $110 +$147 +134%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $673 +$382 +57%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 11 $18 −$18 -97%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $359 +$594 +165%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $750 +$445 +59%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $325 −$319 -98%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $140 −$137 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $223 −$219 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $690 −$39 -6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $893 −$50 -6%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 11 $433 −$433 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 11 $637 −$637 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoff Jun 11 $568 −$568 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $572 −$572 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $395 −$395 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 11 $566 −$566 -100%
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $493 −$493 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 11 $308 −$308 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 11 $1,893 −$1,893 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 11 $2,843 −$2,843 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $568 −$562 -99%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $121 +$48 +40%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $593 +$230 +39%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $71 +$140 +197%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $197 +$313 +158%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $274 +$229 +83%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $458 +$111 +24%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 10 $58 +$50 +86%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $66 −$65 -98%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $66 −$65 -98%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $71 −$70 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $219 +$1,302 +596%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $119 −$23 -20%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,151 −$145 -13%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $99 +$86 +87%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $209 −$206 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $470 −$463 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $766 +$631 +82%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $553 +$209 +38%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $435 +$208 +48%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $731 +$290 +40%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $61 −$60 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $244 −$240 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $121 −$118 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $63 −$61 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 08 $56 −$54 -97%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $218 +$409 +188%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,589 +$1,212 +76%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $375 +$310 +83%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN C Jun 08 $212 +$149 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$6,410
other 0% +$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $319 7m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $83 11m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $430 12m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $445 12m
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $76 20m
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $76 21m
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $166 23m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 65¢ $289 27m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 65¢ $294 27m
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY G2 Ares 34¢ $78 34m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $171 11h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $92 11h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $93 11h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $95 11h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $96 11h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $98 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $1,055 11h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs BUY F5 Esports 6¢ $18 11h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 53¢ $437 12h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOUD 42¢ $110 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $1,194 12h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 37¢ $3 20h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 37¢ $97 21h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 37¢ $134 21h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 37¢ $93 21h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 37¢ $93 21h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 38¢ $132 21h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 37¢ $132 21h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 36¢ $140 21h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 54¢ $223 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +0.4% -9.2% 47% 47% -12.2%
≤30d 124 +9.3% -1.1% 51% 51% +3.2%
≤90d 124 +9.3% -1.1% 51% 51% +3.2%
all 124 +9.3% -1.1% 51% 51% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.1% 51% +3.2%
10% ← realistic here -10.6% 48% -6.7%
15% -19.2% 47% -15.7%
20% -27.2% 37% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,528.87 · official $4,528.88 (match) · 379 history records