Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:07:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa482…cc3d
sports · 85 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses44 / 40
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)84 / 85
History coverage7d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day18.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$43
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 16¢ 52¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+228%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner LOUD 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner Leviatan Esports 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Partizan Sangal 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Partizan Sangal 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs GAM Esports 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Verdant 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs MAGAZA (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage MAGAZA 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 68¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner HMBLE 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: GOAL vs mCon esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage mCon esports 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $32 +$10 +32%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $23 +$9 +38%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $16 +$7 +43%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $13 +$4 +29%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$3 +276%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$3 +41%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$1 +18%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$1 +39%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $6 +$1 +21%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$1 +20%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $3 +$3 +114%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $6 +$2 +38%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$3 +112%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 +$4 +44%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $7 +$4 +59%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $7 −$6 -99%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $8 −$7 -99%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $6 +$6 +92%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 10 $6 +$2 +32%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $6 +$2 +27%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$2 -98%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 −$8 -99%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$3 +38%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $7 +$2 +30%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $7 +$4 +50%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$42
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 16¢ $2 41m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $43 41m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 75¢ $32 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $32 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 72¢ $23 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $23 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $16 3h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $16 14h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 77¢ $13 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $13 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 79¢ $10 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $10 17h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $7 18h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 32¢ $5 18h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 61¢ $5 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $5 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $6 24h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner SELL E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 100¢ $9 38h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame BUY RED Canids 92¢ $9 39h
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 100¢ $9 39h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 73¢ $5 39h
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 26¢ $1 39h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 70¢ $6 39h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 100¢ $5 39h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B SELL Team Heretics Academy 100¢ $7 39h
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 84¢ $7 39h
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 100¢ $7 39h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 71¢ $4 40h
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner BUY HMBLE 54¢ $5 40h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL Galions 100¢ $7 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 -12.0% -20.4% 54% 53% -16.8%
≤30d 84 -13.7% -22.0% 52% 51% -17.4%
≤90d 84 -13.7% -22.0% 52% 51% -17.4%
all 84 -13.7% -22.0% 52% 51% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 51% -17.4%
10% -29.4% 46% -25.3%
15% -36.2% 37% -32.5%
20% -42.5% 17% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.56 · official $6.56 (match) · 143 history records