trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 40% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 25% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 25% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 30 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 33% | 0% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 0% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 0% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 0% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -34.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 20 | $41 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $82 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 02 | $69 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 02 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 01 | $39 | −$3 | -7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 31 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 28 | $3 | $0 | -15% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%? | May 22 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 12 | $11 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Starmer out before July? | May 10 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City | May 10 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? | May 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9? | May 08 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 08 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referen | May 07 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th | May 07 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | May 06 | $12 | $0 | +4% |