Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:46:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa433…3927
crypto · 1565 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$502 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$502 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$502
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses938 / 627
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1565 / 1565
History coverage72d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day35.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1565 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$301
14 days−$255
30 days−$257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +75%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$473
other 3% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $7 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 529 -8.6% -17.3% 61% 61% -18.1%
≤30d 566 -7.9% -16.7% 61% 61% -16.3%
≤90d 1565 -8.8% -17.5% 60% 33% -13.4%
all 1565 -8.8% -17.5% 60% 33% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 33% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 30% -21.7%
15% -32.6% 26% -29.3%
20% -39.2% 12% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records