Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:52:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa42f…5f5a
crypto · 94 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,334 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,660 · open −$536
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,291
Realized−$12,660
Unrealized−$536
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses86 / 216
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$550
Open positions146
Markets (closed)302 / 94
History coverage1d
Avg bet$449
Trades / day3452.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 146 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,660
7 days−$12,660
14 days−$12,660
30 days−$12,660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $797 $799 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Yes 77¢ 81¢ $485 $510 +$25 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? Yes 96¢ 98¢ $474 $484 +$9 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 16? No 75¢ 68¢ $474 $430 −$44 (-9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? No 20¢ 18¢ $377 $340 −$37 (-10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? Yes 17¢ 12¢ $438 $311 −$127 (-29%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 72¢ 97¢ $225 $301 +$76 (+34%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 78¢ 92¢ $229 $271 +$41 (+18%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? No 99¢ 100¢ $258 $260 +$1 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $247 $250 +$3 (+1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 75¢ 74¢ $240 $238 −$2 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? No 87¢ 100¢ $200 $230 +$29 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 16? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $207 $208 +$1 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? No 82¢ 100¢ $170 $208 +$38 (+22%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $190 $200 +$10 (+5%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $185 $183 −$2 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? No 91¢ 98¢ $160 $172 +$11 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? No 86¢ 90¢ $146 $152 +$6 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 89¢ 98¢ $132 $145 +$12 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? Yes 91¢ 99¢ $131 $142 +$11 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 96¢ 99¢ $130 $135 +$5 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Yes 89¢ 99¢ $110 $122 +$12 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 97¢ 98¢ $118 $120 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $118 $119 +$1 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Yes 95¢ 95¢ $114 $114 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $51 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $41 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $28 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $21 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1? Jun 13 $0 −$10 -15066%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? Jun 13 $0 −$6 -38398%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20 Jun 13 $0 −$1 -2806%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26? Jun 13 $0 −$61 -147761%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5? Jun 13 $0 −$56 -169563%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 19 Jun 13 $0 +$488 +2490956%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1? Jun 13 $0 −$116 -199308%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 17? Jun 13 $0 +$8 +27390%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3? Jun 13 $0 −$302 -1274813%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20 Jun 13 $0 +$46 +90779%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 3? Jun 13 $0 −$33 -56255%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 4? Jun 13 $0 −$294 -278078%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 8? Jun 13 $0 −$21 -49523%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23? Jun 13 $0 −$212 -212179%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 19? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $0 −$303 -373972%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $0 −$1,129 -684294%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 1 Jun 13 $0 −$107 -1110667%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 20? Jun 13 $0 −$80 -712734%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on February 9? Jun 13 $0 −$18 -82728%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 19? Jun 13 $0 −$9 -39284%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30 Jun 13 $0 −$40 -99206%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $0 −$119 -459938%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 28 Jun 13 $0 −$23 -34951%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3? Jun 13 $0 −$25 -633168%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 3? Jun 13 $0 −$17 -96049%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1? Jun 13 $0 −$97 -601580%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 20? Jun 13 $0 −$6 -48188%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2? Jun 13 $0 +$93 +50416%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 26 Jun 13 $0 −$108 -928655%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 1 Jun 13 $0 −$11 -337074%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $0 −$154 -547381%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 2? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -366%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 4? Jun 13 $0 −$26 -62061%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 31 Jun 13 $0 +$43 +36607%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 19 Jun 13 $0 −$34 -64802%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $0 −$12 -104456%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 19? Jun 13 $0 −$106 -46843%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2? Jun 13 $0 −$7 -27433%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 8? Jun 13 $0 −$56 -198452%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 10? Jun 13 $0 −$45 -195316%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 2 Jun 13 $0 −$95 -760361%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 1? Jun 13 $0 +$22 +43234%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$2,842
crypto 21% +$406
other 18% −$357
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? SELL No 89¢ $8 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? SELL No 89¢ $2 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 1¢ $0 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $9 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? SELL No 1¢ $0 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $3 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $5 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $4 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 97¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 47¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 53¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 53¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 53¢ $1 8m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL No 19¢ $3 8m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 81¢ $28 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 53¢ $1 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+257.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 +294.6% +257.1% 28% 25% -0.8%
≤30d 302 +294.6% +257.1% 28% 25% -0.8%
≤90d 302 +294.6% +257.1% 28% 25% -0.8%
all 302 +294.6% +257.1% 28% 25% -0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3452.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +257.1% 25% -0.8%
10% ← realistic here +222.9% 22% -10.3%
15% +191.7% 22% -18.9%
20% +163.1% 22% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,291.48 · official $12,287.21 (match) · 3500 history records