Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa41e…73f0
crypto · 1774 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,630 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,643 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$1,643
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses863 / 1003
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1866 / 1774
History coverage43d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day59.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1866 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$696
7 days−$696
14 days−$576
30 days−$718
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 51¢ 94¢ $15 $28 +$13 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$289
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $79 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $16 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 445 -33.3% -39.7% 33% 33% -37.4%
≤30d 1464 -10.7% -19.2% 45% 45% -18.0%
≤90d 1866 -9.2% -17.9% 46% 46% -20.1%
all 1866 -9.2% -17.9% 46% 46% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 46% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 46% -27.7%
15% -32.9% 46% -34.7%
20% -39.5% 46% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.35 · official $22.05 · 3500 history records