Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa41e…0a1c
sports · 1348 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$264 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$137 · open +$127
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$127
Realized+$137
Unrealized+$127
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1318 / 29
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1347 / 1348
History coverage28d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day73.4
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 1347 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$113
14 days−$49
30 days+$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Barcelona 0¢ 84¢ $0 $127 +$127 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Jun 13 $502 +$9 +2%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $125 +$1 +1%
Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Set Handicap: Golubic (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5) Jun 13 $12 $0 +0%
Viktorija Golubic vs. Veronika Erjavec: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Golubic vs. Erjavec: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Altmaier/Fonseca vs. Nouza/Oberleitner: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Altmaier/Fonseca vs. Nouza/Oberleitner: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Halle Open, Qualification (Doubles): Altmaier/Fonseca vs Nouza/Oberlei Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Iva Primorac vs. Elina Avanesyan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Alina Granwehr vs. Jenny Lim: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Granwehr vs. Lim: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri Jun 13 $70 +$2 +2%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $22 $0 +0%
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 13 $35 +$1 +3%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 13 $113 +$1 +1%
Mettraux vs. Ghirardato: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $64 $0 +0%
Katarina Kuzmova vs. Savannah Broadus: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Kuzmova vs. Broadus: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Broadus (-1.5) vs Kuzmova (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Kuzmova vs. Broadus: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Savannah Broadus Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Kuzmova vs. Broadus: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs. Joao Domingues: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Luque vs. Domingues: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $63 +$1 +1%
Luque vs. Domingues: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Anas Mazdrashki Jun 13 $109 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Adams (-1.5) vs Yoruk (+1.5) Jun 13 $59 +$1 +1%
Julia Adams vs. Ilay Yoruk: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Adams vs. Yoruk: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Adams vs. Yoruk: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Adams vs. Yoruk: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Set Handicap: Bernet (-1.5) vs Kopp (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Polina Iatcenko vs. Anastasia Tikhonova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $78 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Iatcenko (-1.5) vs Tikhonova (+1.5) Jun 13 $61 +$1 +1%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Set Handicap: Honda (-1.5) vs Magadan (+1.5) Jun 13 $54 +$1 +1%
Naoya Honda vs. Alan Magadan: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $77 +$1 +1%
Honda vs. Magadan: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $82 +$1 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $34 +$2 +7%
Set Handicap: Hontama (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5) Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$459
politics 14% $0
other 7% −$195
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 98¢ $147 0m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 99¢ $112 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 99¢ $7 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $34 1h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 97¢ $6 1h
Golubic vs. Erjavec: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 98¢ $21 1h
Viktorija Golubic vs. Veronika Erjavec: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $5 1h
Set Handicap: Golubic (-1.5) vs Erjavec (+1.5) BUY Erjavec 100¢ $12 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 100¢ $8 1h
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 100¢ $1 1h
Spread: O'Higgins FC (-2.5) BUY CD Coquimbo Unido 100¢ $2 1h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 99¢ $14 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos SELL Olympiacos B.C. 99¢ $70 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos SELL Olympiacos B.C. 99¢ $69 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos SELL Olympiacos B.C. 99¢ $69 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 98¢ $33 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 98¢ $52 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 98¢ $13 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 98¢ $98 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 99¢ $20 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 99¢ $69 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos SELL Olympiacos B.C. 99¢ $108 2h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 96¢ $96 2h
Halle Open, Qualification (Doubles): Altmaier/Fonseca vs Nouza/Oberlei BUY Altmaier/Fonseca 99¢ $6 3h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 97¢ $68 3h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 98¢ $29 3h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 98¢ $10 3h
Altmaier/Fonseca vs. Nouza/Oberleitner: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $1 3h
Altmaier/Fonseca vs. Nouza/Oberleitner: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 398 +0.1% -9.4% 97% 1% -8.9%
≤30d 1347 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 2% -9.2%
≤90d 1347 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 2% -9.2%
all 1347 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 2% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 2% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $126.75 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records