trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 33% | 0% | -12.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 33% | 0% | -12.6% |
| all | 27 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 37% | 4% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 4% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 4% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 4% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 4% | -32.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 04 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 03 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $112 | −$10 | -9% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $4 | −$2 | -42% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | Jan 31 | $27 | +$17 | +61% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 05 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 01 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Oct 01 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Sep 30 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Sep 30 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? | Sep 30 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Sep 30 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year? | Sep 29 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 29 | $15 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 28 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? | Sep 27 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 27 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | Sep 27 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 26 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Sep 26 | $26 | $0 | +0% |