Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:04:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa412…97c6
crypto · 412 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,626 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,572 · open −$54
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$240
Realized−$1,572
Unrealized−$54
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses183 / 239
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)422 / 412
History coverage15d
Avg bet$345
Trades / day109.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 422 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$428
7 days−$1,239
14 days−$1,443
30 days−$1,572
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 50¢ 72¢ $120 $174 +$54 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 28¢ $120 $66 −$54 (-45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$40 -145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$81 -270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$60 -199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$56 -188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$12 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$75 -250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $180 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $210 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $180 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $300 −$40 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $180 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $240 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $330 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $240 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $240 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $330 −$42 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $270 −$14 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $180 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $300 +$14 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $270 −$18 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $240 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $300 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $180 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $300 −$20 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $300 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $210 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $210 +$15 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $300 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $270 −$22 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $300 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $420 −$42 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $270 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $360 −$29 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $300 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $360 −$20 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $300 −$9 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,201
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $11 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $12 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $15 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $17 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $17 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $17 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $13 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $13 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $14 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 357 -4.8% -13.9% 44% 1% -10.1%
≤30d 422 -6.3% -15.2% 43% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 422 -6.3% -15.2% 43% 1% -10.0%
all 422 -6.3% -15.2% 43% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 0% -18.6%
15% -30.7% 0% -26.5%
20% -37.5% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $240.00 · official $240.00 (match) · 3500 history records